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US Seeks Balance as Fears Grow Russia May Invade Ukraine


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WASHINGTON (AP) xe2x80x94 The buildup of Russian troops near Ukraine has left U.S. officials perplexed, muddying the Biden administrationxe2x80x99s response.

Some Republican lawmakers have been pressing the U.S. to step up military support for Ukraine. But that risks turning what may be mere muscle-flexing by Russian President Vladimir Putin into a full-blown confrontation that only adds to the peril for Ukraine and could trigger an energy crisis in Europe.

But a weak U.S. response carries its own risks. It could embolden Putin to take more aggressive steps against Ukraine as fears grow he could try to seize more of its territory. And it could cause more political damage for President Joe Biden at a time his popularity is dropping.

Knowing how to strike the right balance would be easier if the U.S. had a better understanding of what Putin was trying to accomplish. But top officials admit they donxe2x80x99t know.

xe2x80x9cWexe2x80x99re not sure exactly what Mr. Putin is up to,xe2x80x9d Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said Wednesday. A week earlier, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said, xe2x80x9cWe donxe2x80x99t have clarity into Moscowxe2x80x99s intentions, but we do know its playbook.”

Rep. Mike Quigley, an Illinois Democrat and member of the House Intelligence Committee, said better understanding Putinxe2x80x99s intentions was critical xe2x80x9cto avoid the mistakes that have started great wars.xe2x80x9d

Any U.S. response must be calibrated to avoid being “an appeaser or a provocateur,xe2x80x9d he said.

xe2x80x9cThis is a tough, tough area to try to gain information,xe2x80x9d he said. xe2x80x9cItxe2x80x99s a challenge thatxe2x80x99s as tough or tougher than itxe2x80x99s ever been. It has a pretty serious impact on our ability to make the correct decisions.xe2x80x9d

Russia seized Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula in 2014 and an ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine between Kyiv and Russian-backed rebels in the region known as Donbas has left an estimated 14,000 dead. Now, Ukraine says an estimated 90,000 Russian troops have massed near the border.

The buildup could be a prelude to another Russian invasion. Speaking to Ukraine’s foreign minister this month, Blinken said Putin’s xe2x80x9cplaybookxe2x80x9d was for Russia to build up forces near the border and then invade, xe2x80x9cclaiming falsely that it was provoked.”

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said Friday that the alliance is seeing an xe2x80x9cunusual concentrationxe2x80x9d of Russian forces along Ukraine’s border, warning that the same type of forces was used by Moscow in the past to intervene in neighboring countries.

Though U.S. officials don’t believe an invasion is imminent, Putin also has ramped up his dismissal of an independent Ukraine. A lengthy essay the Kremlin published in July asserts that Ukrainians and Russians are xe2x80x9cone peoplexe2x80x9d and the xe2x80x9ctrue sovereignty of Ukraine is possible only in partnership with Russia.xe2x80x9d

But the moves could also be saber-rattling to prevent Ukraine from growing closer to the West or being admitted into the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, which Putin strongly opposes. Itxe2x80x99s not clear if Russia would risk invading Ukraine, setting off a far more difficult war, or want to occupy hostile territory.

A similar Russian military buildup in the spring did not lead to an invasion, though lawmakers and officials say they are more concerned now, citing U.S. intelligence that has not been made public.

Russia denies it has aggressive motives, insisting it is responding to increased NATO activity near its borders and the strengthening of Ukraine’s military.

Speaking on Thursday, Putin said, xe2x80x9cIt should be taken into consideration that Western partners are exacerbating the situation by supplying lethal modern arms to Kyiv and carrying out provocative military maneuvers in the Black Sea xe2x80x94 and not only in the Black Sea but also in other regions close to our borders.xe2x80x9d

The U.S. has sent ships into the Black Sea as part of NATO activity alongside Ukraine and in recent weeks has delivered military equipment as part of a $60 million package announced in September. Since 2014, the U.S. has committed to spending more than $2.5 billion to help Ukraine strengthen its defense.

The White House said it hopes to de-escalate tensions. xe2x80x9cAs we have made clear in the past, escalatory or aggressive actions by Russia would be of great concern to the United States,xe2x80x9d a spokesperson for the National Security Council said in a statement.

There has been a flurry of diplomacy in recent weeks. U.S. leaders have met with their Russian and Ukrainian counterparts, including a visit by CIA Director William Burns to Moscow during which he spoke to Putin by phone. Germany and France have issued a joint statement affirming support for Ukraine.

Ultimately, the U.S. has few good apparent options to stop Putin were he to press forward.

The Biden administration in April imposed new sanctions on Russia for what it said was Russiaxe2x80x99s role in the Ukraine conflict as well as allegations that it has abetted cyberattacks on U.S. infrastructure and interference in American elections.

Imposing more sanctions is unlikely to influence Putinxe2x80x99s behavior, lawmakers and experts said. The Biden administration in May did waive sanctions related to the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which will carry Russian natural gas directly to Germany, bypassing Ukraine.

A group of Republican lawmakers this month called on the U.S. to provide more lethal aid to Ukrainexe2x80x99s military, ramp up intelligence sharing, or deploy a larger presence of its own to the Black Sea. But Russia could quickly counter with more forces.

And Putin could respond to any Western action by limiting energy exports to Europe, which is heavily dependent on Russian natural gas.

xe2x80x9cThe traditional tools that nation-states use to govern behavior of other nation-states are not available,xe2x80x9d said Douglas Wise, a former deputy director of the Defense Intelligence Agency. xe2x80x9cThe Russians have very little at risk.xe2x80x9d

Writing for the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, two analysts said Putin may want to send a message to Washington that it must treat Russia xe2x80x9cas a major power that cannot be marginalized on the U.S. agenda.xe2x80x9d But the analysts also described Ukraine as Putinxe2x80x99s xe2x80x9cunfinished business.”

xe2x80x9cThat piece of unfinished business is the restoration of Russiaxe2x80x99s dominion over key parts of its historic empire,xe2x80x9d Eugene Rumer and Andrew Weiss wrote. xe2x80x9cNo item on that agenda is more important xe2x80x94 or more pivotal xe2x80x94 than the return of Ukraine to the fold.xe2x80x9d

Trying to seize more of Ukraine xe2x80x94 or even pushing to Kyiv xe2x80x94 would be much tougher than taking Crimea or parts of eastern Ukraine, said Paul Kolbe, a former CIA officer who leads the Intelligence Project at Harvard Universityxe2x80x99s Belfer Center.

Putin can achieve many of his objectives without an invasion, Kolbe said, by putting pressure on Ukraine and NATO and driving a wedge between allies about how to respond.

xe2x80x9cItxe2x80x99s fitting in with a larger pattern of ensuring from their perception that they donxe2x80x99t face threats on their close borders,xe2x80x9d he said.

___

Associated Press writer Jim Heintz in Moscow contributed to this report.

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xd0x9exd0xbd xd0xb2 xd1x81xd0xb2xd1x8fxd0xb7xd0xb8 xd1x81 xd1x8dxd1x82xd0xb8xd0xbc xd0xbfxd0xbexd0xb4xd1x87xd0xb5xd1x80xd0xbaxd0xbdxd1x83xd0xbb, xd1x87xd1x82xd0xbe “xd1x8dxd0xbaxd1x81xd0xbfxd0xbexd1x80xd1x82 xd1x85xd0xb0xd0xbexd1x81xd0xb0 xd0xb4xd0xb5xd0xbbxd0xbe xd0xbdxd0xb5 xd0xbdxd0xbexd0xb2xd0xbexd0xb5” xd0xb8 “xd0xb2xd1x81xd0xb5 xd0xb8xd0xbcxd0xbfxd0xb5xd1x80xd0xb8xd0xb8 xd0xb4xd0xb5xd0xbbxd0xb0xd1x8exd1x82 xd1x8dxd1x82xd0xbe”. “xd0x9dxd0xb0 xd0xbfxd1x80xd0xbexd1x82xd1x8fxd0xb6xd0xb5xd0xbdxd0xb8xd0xb8 xd0xb2xd0xb5xd0xbaxd0xbexd0xb2 xd0xa0xd1x83xd1x81xd1x81xd0xbaxd0xbexd0xb5 xd0xb3xd0xbexd1x81xd1x83xd0xb4xd0xb0xd1x80xd1x81xd1x82xd0xb2xd0xbe xd1x81 xd0xb5xd0xb3xd0xbe xd1x81xd1x83xd1x80xd0xbexd0xb2xd1x8bxd0xbc xd0xb8 xd0xbcxd0xb0xd0xbbxd0xbexd0xbfxd0xbexd0xb4xd0xb2xd0xb8xd0xb6xd0xbdxd1x8bxd0xbc xd0xbfxd0xbexd0xbbxd0xb8xd1x82xd0xb8xd1x87xd0xb5xd1x81xd0xbaxd0xb8xd0xbc xd0xb8xd0xbdxd1x82xd0xb5xd1x80xd1x8cxd0xb5xd1x80xd0xbexd0xbc xd1x81xd0xbexd1x85xd1x80xd0xb0xd0xbdxd1x8fxd0xbbxd0xbexd1x81xd1x8c xd0xb8xd1x81xd0xbaxd0xbbxd1x8exd1x87xd0xb8xd1x82xd0xb5xd0xbbxd1x8cxd0xbdxd0xbe xd0xb1xd0xbbxd0xb0xd0xb3xd0xbexd0xb4xd0xb0xd1x80xd1x8f xd0xbdxd0xb5xd1x83xd1x81xd1x82xd0xb0xd0xbdxd0xbdxd0xbexd0xbcxd1x83 xd1x81xd1x82xd1x80xd0xb5xd0xbcxd0xbbxd0xb5xd0xbdxd0xb8xd1x8e xd0xb7xd0xb0 xd1x81xd0xbexd0xb1xd1x81xd1x82xd0xb2xd0xb5xd0xbdxd0xbdxd1x8bxd0xb5 xd0xbfxd1x80xd0xb5xd0xb4xd0xb5xd0xbbxd1x8b”, – xd0xbfxd0xb8xd1x88xd0xb5xd1x82 xd0xa1xd1x83xd1x80xd0xbaxd0xbexd0xb2. xd0x9fxd0xbe xd0xb5xd0xb3xd0xbe xd0xbcxd0xbdxd0xb5xd0xbdxd0xb8xd1x8e, “xd0xb6xd0xb0xd0xbbxd0xbexd0xb1xd1x8b xd0x91xd1x80xd1x8exd1x81xd1x81xd0xb5xd0xbbxd1x8f xd0xb8 xd0x92xd0xb0xd1x88xd0xb8xd0xbdxd0xb3xd1x82xd0xbexd0xbdxd0xb0 xd0xbdxd0xb0 xd0xb2xd0xbcxd0xb5xd1x88xd0xb0xd1x82xd0xb5xd0xbbxd1x8cxd1x81xd1x82xd0xb2xd0xbe xd0x9cxd0xbexd1x81xd0xbaxd0xb2xd1x8b, xd0xbdxd0xb5xd0xb2xd0xbexd0xb7xd0xbcxd0xbexd0xb6xd0xbdxd0xbexd1x81xd1x82xd1x8c xd1x83xd1x80xd0xb5xd0xb3xd1x83xd0xbbxd0xb8xd1x80xd0xbexd0xb2xd0xb0xd0xbdxd0xb8xd1x8f xd0xb7xd0xbdxd0xb0xd1x87xd0xb8xd0xbcxd1x8bxd1x85 xd0xbaxd0xbexd0xbdxd1x84xd0xbbxd0xb8xd0xbaxd1x82xd0xbexd0xb2 xd0xbfxd0xbe xd0xb2xd1x81xd0xb5xd0xbcxd1x83 xd0xb7xd0xb5xd0xbcxd0xbdxd0xbexd0xbcxd1x83 xd1x88xd0xb0xd1x80xd1x83 xd0xb1xd0xb5xd0xb7 xd1x80xd0xbexd1x81xd1x81xd0xb8xd0xb9xd1x81xd0xbaxd0xbexd0xb3xd0xbe xd1x83xd1x87xd0xb0xd1x81xd1x82xd0xb8xd1x8f xd0xbfxd0xbexd0xbaxd0xb0xd0xb7xd1x8bxd0xb2xd0xb0xd1x8exd1x82”, xd1x87xd1x82xd0xbe xd0xa0xd0xbexd1x81xd1x81xd0xb8xd1x8f xd0xbdxd0xb5 xd1x83xd1x82xd1x80xd0xb0xd1x82xd0xb8xd0xbbxd0xb0 xd0xb8xd0xbcxd0xbfxd0xb5xd1x80xd1x81xd0xbaxd0xb8xd1x85 xd0xb8xd0xbdxd1x81xd1x82xd0xb8xd0xbdxd0xbaxd1x82xd0xbexd0xb2.

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“xd0x9axd0xb0xd0xba xd0xb1xd1x8b xd1x82xd0xbe xd0xbdxd0xb8 xd0xb1xd1x8bxd0xbbxd0xbe, xd0xbdxd0xb5xd0xbexd0xb1xd1x85xd0xbexd0xb4xd0xb8xd0xbc xd0xbexd1x87xd0xb5xd1x80xd0xb5xd0xb4xd0xbdxd0xbexd0xb9 xd1x80xd0xb0xd0xb7xd0xb4xd0xb5xd0xbb xd1x81xd1x84xd0xb5xd1x80 xd0xb2xd0xbbxd0xb8xd1x8fxd0xbdxd0xb8xd1x8f. xd0x98 xd0xbexd0xbd (xd1x80xd0xb0xd0xbdxd0xbe xd0xb8xd0xbbxd0xb8 xd0xbfxd0xbexd0xb7xd0xb4xd0xbdxd0xbe, xd1x84xd0xbexd1x80xd0xbcxd0xb0xd0xbbxd1x8cxd0xbdxd0xbe xd0xb8xd0xbbxd0xb8 xd0xbdxd0xb5xd1x84xd0xbexd1x80xd0xbcxd0xb0xd0xbbxd1x8cxd0xbdxd0xbe, xd1x82xd0xb0xd0xb9xd0xbdxd0xbe xd0xb8xd0xbbxd0xb8 xd1x8fxd0xb2xd0xbdxd0xbe) xd0xbexd0xb1xd1x8fxd0xb7xd0xb0xd1x82xd0xb5xd0xbbxd1x8cxd0xbdxd0xbe xd1x81xd0xbexd1x81xd1x82xd0xbexd0xb8xd1x82xd1x81xd1x8f. xd0x92xd0xbexd0xbfxd1x80xd0xbexd1x81 xd0xbbxd0xb8xd1x88xd1x8c xd0xb2 xd1x82xd0xbexd0xbc, xd0xbaxd0xb0xd0xbaxd0xbexd0xb9 xd1x86xd0xb5xd0xbdxd0xbexd0xb9”, – xd0xbfxd0xbexd0xbbxd0xb0xd0xb3xd0xb0xd0xb5xd1x82 xd0xa1xd1x83xd1x80xd0xbaxd0xbexd0xb2. xd0x9fxd0xbe xd0xb5xd0xb3xd0xbe xd1x81xd0xbbxd0xbexd0xb2xd0xb0xd0xbc, xd1x80xd0xb0xd0xb7xd0xb4xd0xb5xd0xbbxd0xb5xd0xbdxd0xb8xd0xb5 xd0xbdxd0xb0 xd1x81xd1x84xd0xb5xd1x80xd1x8b xd0xb2xd0xbbxd0xb8xd1x8fxd0xbdxd0xb8xd1x8f xd0xbdxd0xb5xd0xbexd0xb1xd1x85xd0xbexd0xb4xd0xb8xd0xbcxd0xbe, xd1x87xd1x82xd0xbexd0xb1xd1x8b xd0xb8xd0xb7xd0xb1xd0xb5xd0xb6xd0xb0xd1x82xd1x8c xd1x81xd1x82xd0xbexd0xbbxd0xbaxd0xbdxd0xbexd0xb2xd0xb5xd0xbdxd0xb8xd0xb9 xd0xbfxd0xbexd1x82xd0xbexd0xbaxd0xbexd0xb2 xd1x81xd0xbexd1x86xd0xb8xd0xb0xd0xbbxd1x8cxd0xbdxd0xbexd0xb3xd0xbe xd1x85xd0xb0xd0xbexd1x81xd0xb0 xd0xb8xd0xb7 xd0xbfxd0xbexd0xbbxd0xb8xd1x82xd0xb8xd1x87xd0xb5xd1x81xd0xbaxd0xb8xd1x85 xd1x81xd0xb8xd1x81xd1x82xd0xb5xd0xbc xd0xbaxd1x80xd1x83xd0xbfxd0xbdxd1x8bxd1x85 xd1x81xd1x82xd1x80xd0xb0xd0xbd. xd0x9fxd0xbe xd0xbcxd0xbdxd0xb5xd0xbdxd0xb8xd1x8e xd0xb0xd0xb2xd1x82xd0xbexd1x80xd0xb0, xd0xbdxd0xb0 xd1x81xd0xbbxd0xb5xd0xb4xd1x83xd1x8exd1x89xd0xb5xd0xbc xd0xb8xd1x81xd1x82xd0xbexd1x80xd0xb8xd1x87xd0xb5xd1x81xd0xbaxd0xbexd0xbc xd1x86xd0xb8xd0xbaxd0xbbxd0xb5 “xd0xa0xd0xbexd1x81xd1x81xd0xb8xd1x8f xd0xbfxd0xbexd0xbbxd1x83xd1x87xd0xb8xd1x82 xd1x81xd0xb2xd0xbexd1x8e xd0xb4xd0xbexd0xbbxd1x8e xd0xb2 xd0xbdxd0xbexd0xb2xd0xbexd0xbc xd0xb2xd1x81xd0xb5xd0xbcxd0xb8xd1x80xd0xbdxd0xbexd0xbc xd1x81xd0xbexd0xb1xd0xb8xd1x80xd0xb0xd0xbdxd0xb8xd0xb8 xd0xb7xd0xb5xd0xbcxd0xb5xd0xbbxd1x8c (xd0xb2xd0xb5xd1x80xd0xbdxd0xb5xd0xb5, xd0xbfxd1x80xd0xbexd1x81xd1x82xd1x80xd0xb0xd0xbdxd1x81xd1x82xd0xb2), xd0xbfxd0xbexd0xb4xd1x82xd0xb2xd0xb5xd1x80xd0xb4xd0xb8xd0xb2 xd1x81xd0xb2xd0xbexd0xb9 xd1x81xd1x82xd0xb0xd1x82xd1x83xd1x81 xd0xbexd0xb4xd0xbdxd0xbexd0xb3xd0xbe xd0xb8xd0xb7 xd0xbdxd0xb5xd0xbcxd0xbdxd0xbexd0xb3xd0xb8xd1x85 xd0xb3xd0xbbxd0xbexd0xb1xd0xb0xd0xbbxd0xb8xd0xb7xd0xb0xd1x82xd0xbexd1x80xd0xbexd0xb2, xd0xbaxd0xb0xd0xba xd0xb1xd1x8bxd0xb2xd0xb0xd0xbbxd0xbe xd0xb2 xd1x8dxd0xbfxd0xbexd1x85xd0xb8 xd0xa2xd1x80xd0xb5xd1x82xd1x8cxd0xb5xd0xb3xd0xbe xd0xa0xd0xb8xd0xbcxd0xb0 xd0xb8xd0xbbxd0xb8 xd0xa2xd1x80xd0xb5xd1x82xd1x8cxd0xb5xd0xb3xd0xbe xd0x98xd0xbdxd1x82xd0xb5xd1x80xd0xbdxd0xb0xd1x86xd0xb8xd0xbexd0xbdxd0xb0xd0xbbxd0xb0”.

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Куда делся хаос? Распаковка стабильности


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the multi-functional tool of authoritarian regimes


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A method reminiscent of the Cold War. All over the world, associations, independent media outlets and NGOs – all which often constitute the last critical bulwark against totalitarian abuses – are facing new laws aimed at curbing their activities by depriving them of means, and at discrediting them. In most cases, this roots from the genuine paranoia of closed political regimes and their leaders when faced with organisations that they suspect of serving the interests of foreign powers, or of political opponents in exile.

The practice is not new, it originated in the United States. From 1938 onwards, the American authorities became obsessed with the idea of a Nazi, and then Soviet, fifth column operating within their territory. In 1938, Washington passed a law imposing strict controls on NGOs working in the country which received foreign funds and carried out “political activities”. McCarthyism in the 1950s, in a context of East-West opposition, naturally aggravated this situation. The result was an exacerbated ideological propaganda campaign which for a long time paralysed many American NGOs, relegating them to the rank of “foreign agents”. As the saying goes: “Give a dog a bad name and hang him”, many activists lost their freedom for their defence of civil rights or trade unions.

The Russian laboratory

Since the Cold War, many regimes have taken up this authoritarian approach against civil society and the media in their countries, such as Greece under the Colonels.More recently, Ethiopia, adopted a repressive law that paralysed the activities of a large number of human rights NGOs which received foreign funding between 2009 and 2019. But, above all, in a reversal of historical trends, it was Vladimir Putin who most notably revived these measures in the early 2010s to attack NGOs working in Russia. As early as 2012, legislative measures mentioned the established term “foreign agents”, to implicate those suspected of carrying out an activity considered as “political” and in favour of differing interests. This loose and expandable definition consists of those wanting to influence government decision-making in order to change state policy. It is an interpretation that targets the very functioning of many civil society organisations. Often, it is the source of an organisationxe2x80x99s donations and funding that is singled out to claim its affiliation with the “enemy”.

Thus, the simple fact of wanting – for example – to re-establish a historical truth, or to defend the rights of LGBT people, can lead to being labelled as an agent in the service of foreign powers, naturally hostile to the Kremlinxe2x80x99s policies. Several Russian NGOs have been prosecuted under this legislation, and some have been forced to disband. FIDHxe2x80x99s member organisation in Russia, Memorial Human Rights Centre, for example, is regularly confronted with this.

In another category, some institutions, such as the former Perm 36 Museum which denounced the crimes of the Soviet regime, was itself declared a xe2x80x9cforeign agent”. Following an administrative closure, it was ultimately taken over by the regime and more or less wiped out.

Since 2014, no less than seven legislative amendments have further restricted the ability of Russian NGOs to act. This includes the obligation to register with the authorities, a law that since 2017 has targeted the media, activists and independent journalists. Since April 2021, the Riga-based Russian and English language news website Meduza, for example, has been one of the main targets on the list of “foreign agents”. Four months later, the independent television channel Dojd and the investigative journalism website IStories were also placed on the list of news or analysis sites that are termed “foreign agents”, joining the Sova centre, which focuses on issues of nationalism and xenophobia, and has been on the list since December 2016. Independent journalist organisations have also been targeted. In August 2021, the Union of Freelance Journalists of the Perm region Chetvjortyj Sektor was added to the register. This legislative and judicial relentlessness, aimed at stifling any opposition, leaves no leeway for civil society or political opposition.

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Nationalist and xenophobic rhetoric

This draconian approach has now been extended to target ordinary citizens guilty of “political activity” on social media, and who since 2020 are also at risk of being prosecuted as “foreign agents”. Anyone who directly or indirectly receives financial or methodological support from abroad can fall into this category.

The trend has spread around the world. For example, in the former provinces of the Soviet Union which are still under Moscowxe2x80x99s influence, such as Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan, where a draft law was finally abandoned in 2016, or Ukraine, where similar legislative proposals are under discussion. But also in Israel, and even within the European Union (Hungary, Bulgaria, Poland, etc.), where the rise of ultra-conservative populism has encouraged the adoption of such draconian measures. In Latin America, too, the simplicity, effectiveness and even popularity of this repressive system, which plays on nationalism and xenophobia, has greatly seduced certain regimes. The same terminology and procedures are used to restrict the activities of civil society and NGOs, all in the name of fighting against foreign influence.

An example is Venezuela, where a “Law on International Cooperation” has been discussed several times, with the aim of controlling the funds that Venezuelan civil society organisations can access. Although this law has not been approved, it is currently on the agenda of the National Assembly, elected in December 2020. In the meantime, the Venezuelan government has been imposing strict control measures on non-governmental organisations on the basis of the “Law against Organised Crime and Terrorist Financing”. The administrative decision approved on 3 May 2021 obliges, for example, all non-profit organisations – including individuals and legal entities – to register with the National Office against Organised Crime and the Financing of Terrorism (ONCDOTF), before they can operate. These organisations must provide information about their domestic or foreign funders, as well as a list of allied organisations abroad with which they have agreed to collaborate.These conditions affect their access to funding and criminalise Venezuelan civil society organisations and their allied partner organisations in the country.

xe2x80x9cIn Nicaragua, the enemy from withinxe2x80x9d

In this Central American state, the exploitation of “laws against foreign agents” seems to be reaching a climax. April 18th, 2018 marks a shift in Nicaragua towards an even more authoritarian regime. The Statexe2x80x99s position is based on the systematic denial of the existence of attacks and harassment against human rights defenders and political opponents. Furthermore, the government justifies its own attacks by labelling organisations as “promoters of violence”. These justifications support a narrative of there being a permanent risk of a “coup dxe2x80x99xc3xa9tat”, allegedly being plotted by human rights defenders and political opposition.

Within this context, between October 2020 and January 2021, several laws and a constitutional reform were passed by the Ortega-Murillo regime, threatening the fundamental rights and freedoms of Nicaraguan civil society. These laws particularly target individuals, human rights organisations, and notably journalists: the law on the regulation of foreign agents, the special law on cybercrime, the reform of Article 37 of the Constitution on life imprisonment, and the law for the defence of the peoplexe2x80x99s rights to independence, sovereignty and self-determination for peace. These laws contravene international human rights laws and provide dangerous and additional repressive tools. They underscore the notion of an xe2x80x99enemy withinxe2x80x99, whereby human rights defenders are labelled as xe2x80x99traitorsxe2x80x99 and xe2x80x99enemies of the homelandxe2x80x99. The result is their increasing degree of isolation and lack of resources and protection from persecution by the state apparatus.

Moreover, since June 2021, civil society has lived in fear of raids and arbitrary detentions. Several of its representatives have already been detained by the Nicaraguan authorities and investigated under “Law 1055 of 2020”, the reform of the Penal Code and “Law 1040 on the regulation of foreign agents”. References to “foreign agents” and “cybercrimes” are clearly used in an arbitrary manner to criminalise any form of opposition. They allow for the closure of media outlets and hinder the work of NGOs by limiting access to funding for defenders, all of whom are labelled as “foreign agents” or “terrorists”. At least two recognised civil society organisations have decided to suspend their activities as a result of these draconian laws: Fundacixc3xb3n Violeta Chamorro and Pen International. In such a context, with no opposition and no respect for human rights, one can certainly no longer speak of democracy in Managua.

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David against Goliathn

FIDHxe2x80x99s members and partners are included in the many human rights organisations targeted around the world. We fight every year to help them overcome the legislative and material obstacles which hinder their actions. We provide them with legal assistance, and alert international bodies of their situation. We also lobby for the adoption of laws to safeguard the independence of civil society, and to create an appropriate environment for their activities. Sometimes this activism pays off: recently the European Court of Human Rights ruled that Hungaryxe2x80x99s anti-NGO law was a clear violation of fundamental rights.

But often, taking action is tantamount to the fight between David and Goliath. Our organisations are increasingly accused of being “enemies guided by the outside”, with a “political agenda” of removing leaders or influencing people against the “values” defended by the ruling power (religious, communist, nationalist, conservative, etc.).
Despite all our advocacy efforts, totalitarian, authoritarian or semi-democratic regimes, now “financed” and protected even within the United Nations human rights bodies by states such as Russia or China, are increasingly succeeding in silencing their civil society by depicting the most threatening NGOs as harmful foreign bodies that need to be monitored or even eradicated.

A race against time

This strategy even inspires states that are radically opposed to the international scene, such as Iran and Israel, united by their development of similar regulations, practices and/or narratives to stigmatise the alleged activities of “foreign agents”. In countries where they can defend themselves, NGOs waste precious time in long and costly procedures to register or justify the source of their funding. This wastes energy that could be used by them to carry out their missions. Elsewhere, laws and charges against “foreign agents” pave the way for the persecution of human rights defenders.

This map is not exhaustive, but it shows you the danger of these practices and laws and their extent. It demonstrates the need to combat them, so that organisations working for the common good can continue to do so in complete freedom. It is not inevitable that these practices will spread like a bad spy novel: we need everyonexe2x80x99s support to design an alternative, inclusive, and truly human rights-based future.

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Opinion | Even if the Steele dossier is discredited, there’s plenty of evidence of Trump’s collusion with Russia – The Washington Post


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Tweets by ‎@mikenov: Zakharova Doth Protest Too Much! – bklyntimes.com

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  1.  Michael Novakhov Retweeted

    When I was at the National Security Agency, I worked in a newly created operations center that senior management wanted to look like something out of Star Trek. We constantly had VIPs come through because it looked “cool.” Even in secret spaces, aesthetics are closely considered https://twitter.com/brianweeden/status/1461669659313328129

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    Well, this is going in book 3 https://twitter.com/SpiesVespers/status/1461853023047667722

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    Riot declared in Portland as protesters, cops clash after Rittenhouse verdict https://trib.al/WOIBkqH 

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    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gDTdobQz_8 

    ▶ Who Killed Malcolm X? Two Men Are Exonerated As Manhattan DA Reveals Details of FBI Coverup

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  5.  Michael Novakhov Retweeted

    This day in 1945, beginning of the Nuremberg trials, held till 1 October 1946. The tribunal was given the task of trying 24 of the most important political and military leaders of the Third Reich.

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  6.  Michael Novakhov Retweeted

    On this day in 1815, France agrees to pay war reparations worth 700 million francs for Napoleon’s failed Waterloo campaign.

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  7.  Michael Novakhov Retweeted

    IT’S TIME FOR STRANGE SPY FACTS! COSMETICS EDITION!
    SOE operative Brian Stonehouse survived capture and a concentration camp went on to become much sought after fashion illustrator. Among his clients was Elizabeth Arden. Non-fashion portrait he did of the Queen hangs in SOE club.

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  8.  Michael Novakhov Retweeted

    Watch it: Our Transit cops were quick to react when a career offender grabbed a woman’s iPhone as the team was inspecting incoming trains on the 4/5 platform yesterday. They caught up to him after a brief chase and he’s been charged with grand larceny.

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